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Finance

Nigeria’s Exchange Rate Dynamics: Drivers, Investment Implications & Economic Impact (Q1 Report)

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The Nigerian foreign exchange market experienced significant volatility between January and April 2026, with the
USD/NGN rate oscillating between approximately ₦1,335 and ₦1,430. This report examines the key
macroeconomic and structural drivers behind these fluctuations, assesses the implications for investment flows and
capital importation, and evaluates the broader effects on the Nigerian economy. Understanding these dynamics is
critical for investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers navigating Nigeria’s evolving financial landscape.

DPH CAPITAL MARKETS DIGEST

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The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) delivered a broadly positive week for the period 23–27 March 2026, with notable
breadth across Consumer Goods, Oil & Gas, and Industrial sectors. The week’s standout performers were led
by Zichis Agro Allied Industries (+60.72%), Premier Paints (+60.26%), and John Holt (+59.92%) — all reflecting
continued momentum in recovery plays. Blue-chip names including Presco (+16.40%) and Airtel Africa
(+10.00%) also featured prominently among the week’s gainers, confirming institutional participation in high
quality names.

COMPREHENSIVE ANALYST REPORT (19 NGX-Listed Companies | 9 Sectors | Full-Year 2025 Payout Analysis)

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The FY 2025 dividend season for NGX-listed companies reflects a broad-based earnings recovery set against a
materially improved macroeconomic backdrop: moderating inflation, a more stable Naira, record external reserves, and
critically the CBN’s first benchmark interest rate cut in the current cycle. Nineteen companies across nine sectors have
declared, or are expected to declare, dividends for the financial year ended December 31, 2025, several of which represent
historic payout milestones.

Best Performing NGX Stocks (Feb 2026)

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February 2026 delivered the NGX’s strongest monthly gain since the 35.28% rally of January 2024, with the All-Share Index surging
+16.60% to close at 192,826.77 pts. Market capitalisation rose from ₦106.15T to ₦123.76T creating over ₦17.6 trillion in investor
wealth. A total of 85 equities gained versus only 34 decliners, reflecting overwhelmingly positive market breadth driven by strong FY2025
earnings, naira stabilisation at ~₦1,390/$, CBN reserves at a 13-year high of $49 billion, and the CBN’s April 2026 banking recapitalisation
deadline.

Daily Market Analysis (16th & 13th Feb 2026)

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Tuesday, 17 February 2026 MARKET ANALYSIS System Liquidity (Nigeria) System liquidity commenced the week on a strong note, posting a surplus balance of ₦4.68 trillion, reflecting an increase of ₦360.49 billion compared to the previous session’s surplus position. The improvement was primarily driven by higher placements by Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) at the Central Bank …

Daily Market Analysis (16th & 13th Feb 2026) Read More »

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